The Rays and Royals are a pair of polar-opposite organizations. The Rays have done a major franchise turnaround on have been one of the best teams in baseball the past five years while the Royals have yet to take their next step as a franchise. Another opposite is that while the Rays organization is stacked with pitching, the Royals’ system features plenty of talented young hitters. The Rays need to find some way to generate more offense to continue to compete in the tough AL East while the Royals think that they may be just a pitcher or two away from being playoff contenders themselves. Could the two teams be the perfect match for a blockbuster trade that could give both teams exactly what they need?
Not just once, but twice, Buster Olney has linked the Rays and Royals together as possible trade partners. When Olney mentions something once, you listen- when he mentions it twice, you kinda have to check it out. The Royals have a couple of promising corner infielders in Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas, both former top prospects but neither of which has lived up to the hype yet in the big leagues. Hosmer and Moustakas are two players the Royals would love to hold onto, but for the sake of filling the team’s major need, starting pitching, they may be tempted enough to deal them. On the Rays end, they feature plenty of starting pitching depth, featuring as many as 11 starting pitchers, and they have key questions coming on their top two starters, James Shields and David Price, both of whom are getting very expensive by the Rays’ standards. For their entire rotation, it seems to be a waste to have so many starting pitchers when trading at least a couple of them could provide the team with much more value than keeping them all. Could a trade of one of the Royals’ young bats for a couple of the Rays’ starting pitchers actually materialize? What would it look like?
A week and a half ago, Marcus Meade of Kings of Kauffman suggested and I refuted a Billy Butler for Matt Moore trade. That trade makes no sense because Moore is the one Rays starting pitcher who is untouchable because 1) he has enormous potential that was evident during his rookie year and 2) he’s signed to an extremely team-friendly contract, and also because Butler makes too much money for the Rays to take on. But a trade where either Shields or Price or a couple of the Rays’ lower tier starters heads to Kansas City could be a possibility. Let’s run through a bunch of scenarios.
The Royals get their topflight starter, another pitcher in Archer who has even higher upside and debuted in the majors in 2012, and another pitcher with lofty potential in Colome who is also not far from the big leagues for the first baseman the Rays desperately need and a promising but risky starter to help refurbish the Rays’ pitching depth. Would the Rays be willing to trade three starting pitchers in one trade? Would the Royals be willing to trade Hosmer (or Moustakas) even for such a package?
Price’s trade value is sky-high right now after a Cy Young-caliber season, and the Royals would have to give up an awful lot to get him. The Rays aren’t dying to trade Price for at least another year, and if they were to trade him, it would only be for the type or package that would make the Royals squirm. A big league player and two upper-echelon prospects for Price? That seems excessive, but it would have to be a package like that for the Rays to accept.
Tampa Bay Rays trade LHP David Price and RHP James Shields to the Kansas City Royals in exchange for 3B Mike Moustakas, 1B Eric Hosmer, OF Wil Myers, and RHP Jake Odorizzi.
Uhhh, I don’t think so.
The Royals don’t get a pitcher who qualifies as any sort of ace right now, but they get possibly three good mid-rotation starters who can help them right now or two starters and an overpowering reliever. But would the Royals be willing to deal Hosmer or Moustakas for that?
The Rays and Royals are, in theory, possible trade partners. But any trade scenario with the slightest chance of happening sounds questionable for one if not both of the teams involved, and if a trade really happens, both teams will be ripped relentlessly by analysts and by their respective fan bases because you just don’t see trades like this happen. You don’t trade young, promising corner infielders and you don’t trade true ace pitchers with this much time left on their contracts. If a trade happens, it will be explosive and controversial. It may just happen, but it’s impossible to predict how a trade like this would possibly work.